Warriors
The rotation

Steve Kerr Floated A Starting Lineup With A Rookie At Small Forward

Asked what would count as a satisfactory season, Kerr declined to say. Asked what he has to settle before it starts, he named the rotation, put Yaxel Lendeborg at small forward, and conceded he cannot count on his older players for 82 games. Those players went 68, 45, 43 and 15 last season.

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Cam EllisSep 7, 20266 min read
Every call on this site goes on a public ledger and gets graded. The misses stay up.

Steve Kerr was asked what would count as a satisfactory season for the Warriors and did not answer the question. "You get into the danger zone when you start trying to predict stuff," he told Monte Poole of NBC Sports Bay Area on Thursday. He talked about process instead, about values and basics and attention to detail, and about his staff having a good camp.

Then, asked what he actually has to settle before the season starts, he named a starting lineup. It has a rookie in it.

"The biggest things are figuring out who's going to start, and what's the rotation going to look like?" Kerr said. The combination he raised as the one worth looking at puts Yaxel Lendeborg at small forward, Draymond Green at power forward, and either Kristaps Porzingis or Al Horford at center.

Lendeborg has not played a regular-season NBA game. Golden State drafted him eleventh in June and he was the most valuable player of the Summer League championship game in July.

The four men Kerr would not project played 171 of a possible 328 games#

Kerr gave the reason for the caution in plain terms. "We understand we got some players who are older, and we can't count on them for 82 games," he said. "But we have a lot of institutional knowledge."

The players he could not attach a number to were Green, Horford, Porzingis and Stephen Curry. Last season, when Golden State finished 37-45 and tenth in the Western Conference, they played this much.

PlayerAge on Oct 21GamesStarts
Draymond Green366868
Al Horford404513
Stephen Curry384341
Kristaps Porzingis311511

Sixty-eight, forty-five, forty-three and fifteen is 171. Four players across an 82-game season is 328 available appearances. One of the four cleared sixty games and one of them did not reach twenty.

Curry's forty-three is the number that reshaped last season, and Porzingis's fifteen is the one that never got started. Horford played more games than Curry did and started thirteen of them.

The lineup, one position at a time#

Small forward. Lendeborg turns 24 on September 30 and will be 24 on opening night. Kerr's own framing has him as more than a developmental case: Poole reported that the club considers him advanced enough to expect heavy minutes, with a chance to earn a starting role. The job is open because the man who held it is hurt, which is the next section.

Power forward. Green played 68 games last season and started all 68, more than any of the other three veterans Kerr named, and he did it at 35. He is 36 now. Whatever else is unsettled, this is the one position in the combination where the incumbent is both present and durable.

Center. Kerr named two players and picked neither. Porzingis appeared in fifteen games and started eleven of them, so when he was available he was a starter. Horford appeared in forty-five and started thirteen, so when he was available he mostly was not. The two facts point in opposite directions and camp is where they get reconciled.

Golden State opens the regular season on October 21 against the Lakers.

Butler and Moody are in none of it#

Jimmy Butler III tore the ACL in his right knee on January 19 and finished the season with 38 games. Moses Moody ruptured the patellar tendon in his left knee on March 23 and finished with 60. Both men are still carried on the league's injury report from those injuries.

Poole reported that Butler is not expected back until the second half of the season, and that Moody is not expected back until 2027. Butler turns 37 on September 14.

That is the vacancy Lendeborg is being measured against. Butler started all 38 of the games he played last season and averaged 31.1 minutes in them.

The roster is built at two ends#

Counting from birth dates, four players on Golden State's roster will be 36 or older on opening night: Horford at 40, Curry at 38, Butler at 37 and Green at 36. Five will be 24 or younger: Brandin Podziemski and Will Richard at 23, and Gui Santos, Moody and Lendeborg at 24.

One of the four older men will not be available in October. One of the five younger men will not be available at all this calendar year. The remaining six players are between 25 and 35. Two of them, Georges Niang and Brandon Williams, signed here in August after spending last season elsewhere. Of the four who were on the roster last season, only Porzingis started more than half of the games he appeared in.

Kerr's closing position was that the misfortune should even out. "I would guess we'll have better health this year; we had some bad luck last year," he said. "I think we're probably due for a little better luck this year." He also set a nearer target than any record: "We've got to win some games early and stay with the pack."

Training camp opens in Hawaii at the end of September.

Called Shots#

Yaxel Lendeborg averages more than 24.0 minutes per game for Golden State in the 2026-27 regular season. Filed at +110. Kerr has publicly floated him as a starter and the club expects heavy minutes, but the three most comparable young Warriors last season landed at 28.5, 20.5 and 20.0 minutes, so the bar sits in the middle of that range rather than below it. Resolves after the regular season ends on April 11, 2027.

Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis combine for fewer than 200 regular-season games played for Golden State in 2026-27. Filed at -105. The four managed 171 of a possible 328 last season. Reaching 200 requires an average of fifty games each from a group aged 38, 36, 40 and 31, and Kerr has already said he cannot count on them for a full year. Resolves after the regular season ends on April 11, 2027.

Sources: Monte Poole, NBC Sports Bay Area, September 4, for all Kerr quotations and for the Butler, Moody and Lendeborg expectations. Basketball Reference for games played, starts, minutes, birth dates and the injury report. NBA.com for the roster, birth dates and last season's 37-45 finish.

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The defense

Vogel gets the Warriors defense, and its shot blockers played 1,425 minutes

Golden State blocked 346 shots in 2025-26, 4.2 a game, 26th in the league, and pulled down 31.0 defensive rebounds a game, 25th. It also finished second in steals and sixth in turnovers forced. Three men who are still under contract blocked shots at better than 1.5 per 36 minutes last season: Charles Bassey at 2.52 on 100 minutes, Al Horford at 1.89, Kristaps Porzingis at 1.62. They played 1,425 of the team's 19,805 minutes, 7.2 percent, across 65 games. The next rate on the list is Draymond Green's 0.81. Quinten Post and Trayce Jackson-Davis, third and eighth on the team in blocks, are gone, and with the other departures go 75 of the 346 blocks and 578 of the 2,540 defensive rebounds. The three players added since are a rookie forward, a power forward and a guard. Frank Vogel was announced as associate head coach on September 17 and Steve Kerr says he is turning the defense over to him. Vogel's twelve seasons as a head coach produced three defenses that finished first in the league and two that finished third. Camp opens in Hawaii on September 29. Two takes filed.

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On the record

Called Shots →
Held upAug 21, 2026

In San Francisco's Week 1 game against the Rams on September 10, 2026, Jack Jones plays MORE defensive snaps than Nate Hobbs. A player absent from the game book's Playtime Percentage page counts as zero, whether he is inactive, on injured reserve, or no longer on the roster. The take is CORRECT only if Jones's defensive snap count is strictly greater than Hobbs's. It is WRONG if Hobbs's is equal to or greater than Jones's, and that includes the case where both are zero.

The board moved both men today, Jones from 5 to 7 and inside the projected 53 and Hobbs from 6 to 5 and outside it, off the August 20 game book. This call takes the same view forward to a game that counts rather than restating the roster projection. The case: Jones has played 37 preseason snaps across the two games, was credited with two of San Francisco's seven passes defensed at the Chargers with no other 49er credited with more than one, and played 91.5 percent of Miami's defensive snaps across all 17 games in 2025 per Over The Cap's participation table. Hobbs has played none, pulled a groin at the August 11 joint practice with Tennessee, and was given a few weeks by Kyle Shanahan on August 13, which lands between August 27 and September 3 against a roster deadline of August 30. The risk is real and is stated: a few weeks from August 13 clears a September 10 kickoff, so a healthy Hobbs is a corner San Francisco signed to play and Jones is a corner it signed in June. Renardo Green's hamstring, under imaging on August 21, can move this in either direction by changing how many corners dress at all. UPDATED August 22, 2026, by the beat sweep: the anchor agrees, independently and afterwards. Matt Maiocco's 53-man projection 3.0, published August 21, lists a cornerback six of Lenoir, Green, Stout, Jack Jones, Luter and Prysock and does not mention Nate Hobbs anywhere in the piece, writing that Jones 'is slotted to take over as the starter for as long as Green is out.' The desk moved both men at 3:20 p.m. PT on August 21 off the game book and Maiocco published the same day, so this is corroboration and not the source. The two pass breakups are now three-sourced: the game book's defensive column, PFF's charting (team-best coverage grade of 89.9, no catch allowed on two targets), and Kyle Shanahan. The falsifier now has dates: the club published a Raiders-week schedule with practices on August 22 at 1:50 p.m. PT, August 23 at 10:15 a.m. and August 25 at 10:15 a.m., all with media availability, so any Hobbs practice report has three scheduled chances before the August 30 cutdown. Renardo Green's imaging result was promised for Friday August 21 and had still not been published by anybody as of Saturday morning.

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The rotation

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