The rotation

Steve Kerr Floated A Starting Lineup With A Rookie At Small Forward

Asked what would count as a satisfactory season, Kerr declined to say. Asked what he has to settle before it starts, he named the rotation, put Yaxel Lendeborg at small forward, and conceded he cannot count on his older players for 82 games. Those players went 68, 45, 43 and 15 last season.

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Cam EllisSep 7, 20266 min read
Every call on this site goes on a public ledger and gets graded. The misses stay up.

Steve Kerr was asked what would count as a satisfactory season for the Warriors and did not answer the question. "You get into the danger zone when you start trying to predict stuff," he told Monte Poole of NBC Sports Bay Area on Thursday. He talked about process instead, about values and basics and attention to detail, and about his staff having a good camp.

Then, asked what he actually has to settle before the season starts, he named a starting lineup. It has a rookie in it.

"The biggest things are figuring out who's going to start, and what's the rotation going to look like?" Kerr said. The combination he raised as the one worth looking at puts Yaxel Lendeborg at small forward, Draymond Green at power forward, and either Kristaps Porzingis or Al Horford at center.

Lendeborg has not played a regular-season NBA game. Golden State drafted him eleventh in June and he was the most valuable player of the Summer League championship game in July.

The four men Kerr would not project played 171 of a possible 328 games#

Kerr gave the reason for the caution in plain terms. "We understand we got some players who are older, and we can't count on them for 82 games," he said. "But we have a lot of institutional knowledge."

The players he could not attach a number to were Green, Horford, Porzingis and Stephen Curry. Last season, when Golden State finished 37-45 and tenth in the Western Conference, they played this much.

PlayerAge on Oct 21GamesStarts
Draymond Green366868
Al Horford404513
Stephen Curry384341
Kristaps Porzingis311511

Sixty-eight, forty-five, forty-three and fifteen is 171. Four players across an 82-game season is 328 available appearances. One of the four cleared sixty games and one of them did not reach twenty.

Curry's forty-three is the number that reshaped last season, and Porzingis's fifteen is the one that never got started. Horford played more games than Curry did and started thirteen of them.

The lineup, one position at a time#

Small forward. Lendeborg turns 24 on September 30 and will be 24 on opening night. Kerr's own framing has him as more than a developmental case: Poole reported that the club considers him advanced enough to expect heavy minutes, with a chance to earn a starting role. The job is open because the man who held it is hurt, which is the next section.

Power forward. Green played 68 games last season and started all 68, more than any of the other three veterans Kerr named, and he did it at 35. He is 36 now. Whatever else is unsettled, this is the one position in the combination where the incumbent is both present and durable.

Center. Kerr named two players and picked neither. Porzingis appeared in fifteen games and started eleven of them, so when he was available he was a starter. Horford appeared in forty-five and started thirteen, so when he was available he mostly was not. The two facts point in opposite directions and camp is where they get reconciled.

Golden State opens the regular season on October 21 against the Lakers.

Butler and Moody are in none of it#

Jimmy Butler III tore the ACL in his right knee on January 19 and finished the season with 38 games. Moses Moody ruptured the patellar tendon in his left knee on March 23 and finished with 60. Both men are still carried on the league's injury report from those injuries.

Poole reported that Butler is not expected back until the second half of the season, and that Moody is not expected back until 2027. Butler turns 37 on September 14.

That is the vacancy Lendeborg is being measured against. Butler started all 38 of the games he played last season and averaged 31.1 minutes in them.

The roster is built at two ends#

Counting from birth dates, four players on Golden State's roster will be 36 or older on opening night: Horford at 40, Curry at 38, Butler at 37 and Green at 36. Five will be 24 or younger: Brandin Podziemski and Will Richard at 23, and Gui Santos, Moody and Lendeborg at 24.

One of the four older men will not be available in October. One of the five younger men will not be available at all this calendar year. The remaining six players are between 25 and 35. Two of them, Georges Niang and Brandon Williams, signed here in August after spending last season elsewhere. Of the four who were on the roster last season, only Porzingis started more than half of the games he appeared in.

Kerr's closing position was that the misfortune should even out. "I would guess we'll have better health this year; we had some bad luck last year," he said. "I think we're probably due for a little better luck this year." He also set a nearer target than any record: "We've got to win some games early and stay with the pack."

Training camp opens in Hawaii at the end of September.

Called Shots#

Yaxel Lendeborg averages more than 24.0 minutes per game for Golden State in the 2026-27 regular season. Filed at +110. Kerr has publicly floated him as a starter and the club expects heavy minutes, but the three most comparable young Warriors last season landed at 28.5, 20.5 and 20.0 minutes, so the bar sits in the middle of that range rather than below it. Resolves after the regular season ends on April 11, 2027.

Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Al Horford and Kristaps Porzingis combine for fewer than 200 regular-season games played for Golden State in 2026-27. Filed at -105. The four managed 171 of a possible 328 last season. Reaching 200 requires an average of fifty games each from a group aged 38, 36, 40 and 31, and Kerr has already said he cannot count on them for a full year. Resolves after the regular season ends on April 11, 2027.

Sources: Monte Poole, NBC Sports Bay Area, September 4, for all Kerr quotations and for the Butler, Moody and Lendeborg expectations. Basketball Reference for games played, starts, minutes, birth dates and the injury report. NBA.com for the roster, birth dates and last season's 37-45 finish.

Filed under Warriors

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Basketball-Reference lists Yaxel Lendeborg at -33.1 On-Off through ten games, next to a PER of 20.2 and a true shooting percentage of .630. The number is two team results subtracted: Golden State is about 3 points per 100 possessions worse than its opponents in his 323 minutes and 20 to 30 better in the 162 minutes he sits. A replay of ESPN's play-by-play puts the on-court figure at -2.5 and the gap at 22. Curry was on the floor for 120 of the 162 off minutes, and those 120 minutes are plus 60. Curry's presence beside Lendeborg does not move the rookie's own on-court number; Draymond Green's presence moves it 19 points down and Georges Niang's 16 points up. The off column is about 320 possessions, and a bootstrap over the replayed stints puts its 90 percent range at plus 2 to plus 38 per 100.

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Golden State beat Phoenix, Miami and Orlando from November 2 to November 7 by a combined 30 points. Georges Niang came off the bench in all three, played just under 70 minutes and was plus 49, tied with Stephen Curry for the team's best. The starting five of Curry, Draymond Green, Yaxel Lendeborg, Brandin Podziemski and Will Richard was outscored by 25 in 13.5 minutes across Richard's two starts. Richard has a torn ulnar collateral ligament in his left thumb and is out against New Orleans on Monday, November 9, with no timetable; Gui Santos is listed as probable.

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Golden State has outscored opponents by 23 points through eight games, but it has been outscored by 40 in the 78.4 minutes Draymond Green and Yaxel Lendeborg have played together. Green is plus 34 in 81 minutes without Lendeborg, and Lendeborg is plus 19 in 177 minutes without Green. Gui Santos, who is out against Miami on Thursday, November 5, has been the one forward with whom the pair has outscored opponents.

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Golden State is 2-3 after five games, four of them on the road, and plays its next six at home: the Lakers on Friday, October 30, the Clippers on Sunday, November 1, Phoenix on Monday, November 2, then Miami, Orlando and New Orleans through November 9. Sunday and Monday are the second back-to-back of the season. On the first, October 23 and 24, Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, Al Horford and Brandin Podziemski did not play the second night and rookie Yaxel Lendeborg played 37 and 36 minutes. By ESPN box scores Lendeborg has played 168 minutes in five games, 29 or more in every one, the most on the team. He carried a foot listing into Wednesday's win at Minnesota and played 35 minutes.

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Golden State opened 2026-27 at 0-3: 127-105 at the Lakers on October 21, 111-108 to Memphis on October 23 and 131-122 at Phoenix on October 24. Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Al Horford played the first two and sat the third, the second night of a back-to-back, with Brandin Podziemski, who played only the Memphis game. By ESPN box scores the Warriors shot 41 percent in each of the two games the veterans played and 22 of 77 from three; on the night they sat the club shot 45 percent and 17 of 39. Opponents shot 136 of 253, 54 percent, across the three games. Rookie Yaxel Lendeborg led Golden State in minutes all three nights, 102 in total, with 29 against the Lakers, 37 against Memphis and 36 at Phoenix. The club is at Denver on Monday, and ESPN's injury notes of October 25 list Gui Santos questionable with left knee tendinitis, Brandon Williams and Charles Bassey probable, and none of the four veterans on the report.

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On the record

Called Shots →
Held upAug 21, 2026

In San Francisco's Week 1 game against the Rams on September 10, 2026, Jack Jones plays MORE defensive snaps than Nate Hobbs. A player absent from the game book's Playtime Percentage page counts as zero, whether he is inactive, on injured reserve, or no longer on the roster. The take is CORRECT only if Jones's defensive snap count is strictly greater than Hobbs's. It is WRONG if Hobbs's is equal to or greater than Jones's, and that includes the case where both are zero.

The board moved both men today, Jones from 5 to 7 and inside the projected 53 and Hobbs from 6 to 5 and outside it, off the August 20 game book. This call takes the same view forward to a game that counts rather than restating the roster projection. The case: Jones has played 37 preseason snaps across the two games, was credited with two of San Francisco's seven passes defensed at the Chargers with no other 49er credited with more than one, and played 91.5 percent of Miami's defensive snaps across all 17 games in 2025 per Over The Cap's participation table. Hobbs has played none, pulled a groin at the August 11 joint practice with Tennessee, and was given a few weeks by Kyle Shanahan on August 13, which lands between August 27 and September 3 against a roster deadline of August 30. The risk is real and is stated: a few weeks from August 13 clears a September 10 kickoff, so a healthy Hobbs is a corner San Francisco signed to play and Jones is a corner it signed in June. Renardo Green's hamstring, under imaging on August 21, can move this in either direction by changing how many corners dress at all. UPDATED August 22, 2026, by the beat sweep: the anchor agrees, independently and afterwards. Matt Maiocco's 53-man projection 3.0, published August 21, lists a cornerback six of Lenoir, Green, Stout, Jack Jones, Luter and Prysock and does not mention Nate Hobbs anywhere in the piece, writing that Jones 'is slotted to take over as the starter for as long as Green is out.' The desk moved both men at 3:20 p.m. PT on August 21 off the game book and Maiocco published the same day, so this is corroboration and not the source. The two pass breakups are now three-sourced: the game book's defensive column, PFF's charting (team-best coverage grade of 89.9, no catch allowed on two targets), and Kyle Shanahan. The falsifier now has dates: the club published a Raiders-week schedule with practices on August 22 at 1:50 p.m. PT, August 23 at 10:15 a.m. and August 25 at 10:15 a.m., all with media availability, so any Hobbs practice report has three scheduled chances before the August 30 cutdown. Renardo Green's imaging result was promised for Friday August 21 and had still not been published by anybody as of Saturday morning.

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