
-7.4
Pine Net Rating v0.1: goals above replacement per 82 games (-7.3 over his 82). 11% among 469 forwards, 4th line.
2025-26 regular season: 82 games, 930 minutes.
2026-27: -9.8 (range -23.5 to +3.9). 2030-31: -16.4 (range -46.1 to +13.4).
Market value is what the league pays a forward at his rating percentile this season, from 386 contracts; in 2026-27 dollars against a $104M ceiling. Positive value is the share of 2,000 simulated futures over his 1 remaining year in which that value meets his cap hit.
The number on each bar is his percentile among league forwards with 200 or more minutes at 5-on-5 (special teams: 30 or more minutes on the unit); each block prints the size of that group. Higher is better on every bar; chances against are inverted so 90% always reads well.
Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-09-13. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.
Ty Dellandrea's time on ice per game for San Jose in 2026-27 finishes below 13:00, down from 14:11 in 46 games in 2025-26.
Barclay Goodrow averages less than 1:55 of shorthanded ice time per game across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27, down from 1:55 across all 82 games in 2025-26.
San Jose scores 2.0 or fewer goals per sixty minutes at even strength with Zack Ostapchuk on the ice across the club's first 25 games of 2026-27, no better than the 1.6 he posted across 59 games in 2025-26.
Mason Marchment finishes the 2026-27 regular season with an even-strength offensive zone start share below 60 percent for San Jose.
San Jose's penalty kill finishes the 2026-27 regular season ranked higher among the 32 NHL clubs than San Jose's power play.
Zack Ostapchuk started 33.8 percent of his even-strength shifts in the offensive zone last season, third-lowest of the thirteen San Jose forwards who dressed 40 times, and San Jose allowed 2.7 goals per sixty with him on the ice at even strength, tied with Collin Graf for the lowest rate in that group. The same table has him at 1.6 goals for per sixty, tied third-lowest. The four-year contract signed in June is a bet that the second number moves, and both public line projections put him back with the wingers it did not move with.

Barclay Goodrow played all 82 games last season and finished with 12 points, 73 penalty minutes and the second-worst even-strength shot-share relative of any San Jose skater who dressed 40 times. The number that matters is the one attached to his actual job: 9.9 goals against per sixty shorthanded, the worst of the five forwards under contract who killed penalties at least a minute a night. He is the identity veteran on a team whose most fixable weakness is the unit he anchors.
