Sharks
Sharks · Player

Tyler Toffoli

Tyler Toffoli
Pine card · 2025-26

+12.7

Pine Net Rating v0.1: goals above replacement per 82 games (+12.2 over his 79). 82% among 469 forwards, 1st line.

Position
C
Number
#73
Shoots
R
Age
34
Size
6'0", 205 lb
Ice time
14:58 a game
Games
79
Status
Under contract
Pieces here
32

2025-26 regular season: 79 games, 1183 minutes.

Net rating, split
Offense plus defense, in goals per 82 games, against a replacement-level player at his position. Built from public components; the method names every constant. Team sums track goal differential at r = 0.632 across 32 clubs.
Netall situations
+12.782%
Offenseall situations
+11.778%
Defenseall situations
+1.066%
Projected net rating
Per 82 games. Solid: rated seasons on file (11). Dotted: the forecast along the league aging curve for his position; the band is the 10th to 90th percentile of outcomes, and it widens because each year adds its own uncertainty. Baseline +13.0 from 3 recent seasons, shrunk 15% of the way toward the league forward mean.
-30-20-10+0+10+20+30+40+17+10+1+9+12+8+8+16+14+17+13+12+10+8+6+42015-162017-182019-202021-222023-242025-262027-282029-302030-31-30-20-10+0+10+20+30+40+17+10+1+9+12+8+8+16+14+17+13+12+10+8+6+42015-162019-202023-242027-282030-31

2026-27: +11.8 (range -1.5 to +25.0). 2030-31: +4.4 (range -25.4 to +34.2).

Value v0.1
Market value
$7.15M
Cap hit
$6M
Surplus
+$1.15M
Positive value
53%

Market value is what the league pays a forward at his rating percentile this season, from 386 contracts; in 2026-27 dollars against a $104M ceiling. Positive value is the share of 2,000 simulated futures over his 2 remaining years in which that value meets his cap hit.

The number on each bar is his percentile among league forwards with 200 or more minutes at 5-on-5 (special teams: 30 or more minutes on the unit); each block prints the size of that group. Higher is better on every bar; chances against are inverted so 90% always reads well.

Individual offense
percentile among 469 forwards
Goalsall situations
1971%
Assistsall situations
3078%
Pointsall situations
4975%
Expected goalsall situations
23.082%
Individual defense
percentile among 469 forwards
Blocked shotsall situations
3152%
Penalties drawn minus takenall situations
148%
On the ice, offense
percentile among 313 to 469 forwards
Chances for, per 605-on-5
2.3946%
Chance share, on ice minus off5-on-5
+2.472%
Power play chances for, per 60power play, 219 min
9.2991%
On the ice, defense
percentile among 469 forwards
Chances against, per 605-on-5
2.4948%
Penalty kill chances against, per 60penalty kill, 0 min
rank withheld: under 30 minutes on the unit
0.00n/a
Difficulty not measured. Quality of competition and teammates has no free public source this pipe can reach (Natural Stat Trick blocks scripts); Court chose no paid source on 2026-09-12.
Contract $6M cap hit · 2 years left · UFA July 2028. PuckPedia and CapWages, via the cap sheet.

Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-09-13. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.

On the record

Called Shots →
OpenAug 24, 2026

Ty Dellandrea's time on ice per game for San Jose in 2026-27 finishes below 13:00, down from 14:11 in 46 games in 2025-26.

OpenAug 29, 2026

San Jose scores 2.0 or fewer goals per sixty minutes at even strength with Zack Ostapchuk on the ice across the club's first 25 games of 2026-27, no better than the 1.6 he posted across 59 games in 2025-26.

OpenSep 1, 2026

Kiefer Sherwood averages under 1:45 a night on the power play across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.

WithdrawnSep 6, 2026

Tyler Toffoli scores fewer than 15 even-strength goals for San Jose in the 2026-27 regular season.

OpenSep 8, 2026

Collin Graf is not among San Jose's top eight forwards in total power-play time on ice across the club's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.

OpenSep 12, 2026

Ivar Stenberg appears in 11 or more of San Jose's first 13 regular-season games in 2026-27.

Written about him

Season preview

Tyler Toffoli Lost Eleven Goals Last Season And Not One Of Them Came Off The Power Play

No San Jose skater spent a larger share of his ice time on the power play last season than Tyler Toffoli, who gave 19.6 percent of his minutes to the man advantage across 79 games. That is the half of his game that has not moved in two years: 232.9 power-play minutes and 15 power-play points in 2025-26, against 240.8 minutes and 15 points the season before. His goal total went 30 to 19 over the same stretch, and all eleven of the missing goals were even-strength goals. Professor Hockey's August 28 opening-night units leave him off both, a call he flagged himself as the one he is least confident in.

Dom CahillSep 6, 20265 min read
Tyler Toffoli Lost Eleven Goals Last Season And Not One Of Them Came Off The Power Play
Sharks asset desk

The Toffoli decision: when hold flips to sell, decided nine months before it's urgent

Tyler Toffoli, and the sell decision you make before you need to

Grab Some PineJun 12, 20264 min read
The Toffoli decision: when hold flips to sell, decided nine months before it's urgent
Analysis

The Toffoli–Misa–Graf Line: Sixty-Seven Minutes, Sixty Percent, Zero Goals Against

The 2025-26 Sharks ran out a dozen different forward combinations around Michael Misa. Nine games and sixty-seven minutes of one specific configuration produced the best per-minute

Grab Some PineMay 14, 202612 min read
The Toffoli–Misa–Graf Line: Sixty-Seven Minutes, Sixty Percent, Zero Goals Against
Analysis

Collin Graf, 2025-26: The Qualifying Offer Was the Easiest Decision of the Summer

An undrafted right wing from Lincoln, Mass., posted the highest 5v5 expected goals per 60 on a Sharks roster that included Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith, William Eklund, and Tyler

Grab Some PineMay 12, 202620 min read
Collin Graf, 2025-26: The Qualifying Offer Was the Easiest Decision of the Summer

Also appears in

Pohlkamp scored 97 seconds in, and he has played one professional game

Sep 22, 2026

Will Smith led the Sharks in goals on his shifts, but not in chances

Sep 16, 2026

Ivar Stenberg And His Brother Scored One Goal And Two Assists Each In Their First Season Against Swedish Men

Sep 12, 2026

Six Of Igor Chernyshov's Twenty Eight Games Ended With No Shot On Goal

Sep 9, 2026

Collin Graf Scored More Shorthanded Than He Did On The Power Play

Sep 8, 2026

Michael Kesselring Went From Seventy Power Play Minutes To Two Seconds In One Season

Sep 7, 2026

Of Alexander Wennberg's Twenty And A Half Minutes A Night, Five And A Half Came On Special Teams

Sep 4, 2026

Kiefer Sherwood Drove Play Better Than Any Shark And Finished Minus Eight

Sep 1, 2026

Zack Ostapchuk Got Some Of The Hardest Ice In San Jose And The Puck Stayed Out Of The Net

Aug 29, 2026

If Quentin Musty Makes The Sharks Out Of Camp, It Will Be For A Skill He Has Not Shown

Aug 27, 2026

Only Macklin Celebrini Scored Faster Than Adam Gaudette Last Season

Aug 25, 2026

Ty Dellandrea Killed More Penalties Per Night Than Any San Jose Forward

Aug 24, 2026

San Jose Has Four Preseason Games And Nineteen Men Who Can Play Two Of Them

Aug 21, 2026

The Open Job On San Jose's Power Play Is Not The One Luca Cagnoni Is Being Given

Aug 19, 2026

Every Sharks Point Total Is Reasonable Until You Add Them Up

Aug 14, 2026

San Jose Called Up Its Forwards In A Different Order Than The Barracuda Scored Them

Aug 12, 2026

Nobody Has A Seat For Collin Graf

Jul 22, 2026

The forecast, redone: Stenberg is an NHL player, and it changes the picture

Jun 24, 2026

The salary floor after Eklund: $21M the Sharks are required to spend, not free to spend

Jun 24, 2026

Kesselring's power-play efficiency in Utah: a functional PP2 with a PP1 weapon attached

Jun 18, 2026

The power-play blueprint: the chances were already there, the finish wasn't (the easy 5 points)

Jun 14, 2026

The Grier report card: four years graded, one pattern found, and what it predicts for June 27

Jun 12, 2026

The five-year cap math: can they keep everyone? (The Florida-or-Chicago question, answered)

Jun 11, 2026

The trade chessboard: what every chip is worth, and what the plan actually costs

Jun 10, 2026

The honest value board: who actually drove value in 2025-26

Jun 9, 2026

Bystedt and Musty: the NHL comps, and why two good prospects can't get in the lineup

Jun 8, 2026

The 2026-27 forward group: four lines to compete now and grow into a contender

Jun 7, 2026

Two good problems named Bystedt and Musty

Jun 3, 2026