
+11.9
Pine Net Rating v0.1: goals above replacement per 82 games (+11.9 over his 82). 84% among 250 defensemen, 1st pair.
2025-26 regular season: 82 games, 1738 minutes.
2026-27: +8.1 (range -5.7 to +21.8). 2030-31: +3.1 (range -25.7 to +31.9).
Market value is what the league pays a defenseman at his rating percentile this season, from 214 contracts; in 2026-27 dollars against a $104M ceiling. Positive value is the share of 2,000 simulated futures over his 1 remaining year in which that value meets his cap hit.
The number on each bar is his percentile among league defensemen with 200 or more minutes at 5-on-5 (special teams: 30 or more minutes on the unit); each block prints the size of that group. Higher is better on every bar; chances against are inverted so 90% always reads well.
Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-09-13. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.
Luca Cagnoni plays fewer than 42 regular-season games for the San Jose Sharks in 2026-27. Scored off his official NHL regular-season games-played total for San Jose only: 41 or fewer is a hit, 42 or more is a miss, including if he reaches 42 after being recalled from the Barracuda, and including if he is traded (games for another club do not count).
Dmitry Orlov records more power-play time on ice than Luca Cagnoni in San Jose's regular-season opener against Florida on October 1, 2026.
Dmitry Orlov finishes the 2026-27 regular season leading all San Jose defensemen in total power-play time on ice.
Jacob Trouba has the highest shorthanded ice time per game of any San Jose defenseman across the club's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Eric Pohlkamp plays 10 or more NHL regular-season games for San Jose in 2026-27.
Luca Cagnoni averages under 0:30 a game of shorthanded time on ice across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Michael Kesselring averages more than 0:51 a game of power-play time on ice across San Jose's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.
San Jose's penalty kill finishes the 2026-27 regular season ranked higher among the 32 NHL clubs than San Jose's power play.
Sam Dickinson averages more time on ice per game than Darnell Nurse across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Sam Dickinson averages 1:00 or more of power-play time per game across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Two or more San Jose defensemen each record 150:00 or more of power-play time on ice in the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
San Jose plays its first exhibition game at Anaheim on Sunday at 1 p.m. Pacific, the first of four inside seven days before the October 1 opener against Florida. Measured against the NHL's own time-on-ice database for all 32 clubs in 2025-26, 17 clubs gave more power-play time to a left-shot defenseman than to any right shot, and 11 gave no right-shot defenseman even 100 minutes. Those 11 averaged a 22.00 percent power play against a 21.10 percent league mean. San Jose and Florida were the only clubs to give two defensemen 150 minutes or more. The Sharks blue line brings 307:51 of NHL power-play time to camp and 202:55 of it belongs to Orlov.

PuckIQ's WoodMoney model splits even-strength ice time by the quality of the opposition. Sam Dickinson spent 23.2 percent of his against elite forwards last season, against 39.0 percent for Mario Ferraro and 35.3 for Dmitry Orlov, and San Jose outscored the opponent 15 to 11 in those 220.7 minutes. In the 385.1 minutes he played against the softest tier, San Jose was outscored 19 to 12. He is signed at $953,750 on a blue line carrying $17,500,000 of Darnell Nurse and Jacob Trouba.

Michael Kesselring played 69:49 on the power play for Utah in 2024-25 across all 82 games, then two seconds in 34 injury-shortened games for Buffalo. San Jose's blue line gave 82 percent of its power-play minutes to two men last season, Dmitry Orlov and John Klingberg, and Klingberg, a right shot, is gone. The club's roster feed lists four right-shot defensemen and two of them have never played an NHL game. Jacob Trouba, the other one who has, owns one power-play point across his last 158 games. That leaves the Utah season as the only evidence San Jose has that anybody on its right side can do the job.

Dmitry Orlov scored 37 points in 82 games last season, a career high in his fifteenth NHL year, and 18 of them came on the power play against a previous career best of eight. At even strength he had 19, the fewest of any full season he has played apart from his rookie year. He is 35, he is in the final season of a two-year deal at $6,500,000, and both published opening-night power-play projections put Luca Cagnoni at the point and leave Orlov off both units.

Sheng Peng's opening-night power-play projection, with Jack Han and Jason Demers, puts Luca Cagnoni at the point on the first unit and leaves Dmitry Orlov off both. Orlov played 203.5 power-play minutes last season and was on the ice for 32 of San Jose's 54 power-play goals. Cagnoni has played 25.9 power-play minutes in his NHL career, across nine games in two seasons, and both times San Jose called him up it put him on the power play immediately.
