Ivar Stenberg
San Jose Sharks · 2026-27
5'11" · 185 lb · Age 19
-5.8
goals above replacement per 82 games
-1.2 over his 17 games. Percentile among 159 league forwards with 200 or more five-on-five minutes. Method v0.1
Goals above replacement over his 17 games, by part.
Difficulty of his minutes (the quality of his opponents and linemates) is not measured: no free public source carries it.
The number over each bar is his percentile among 150 to 159 league forwards.
The number over each bar is his percentile among 159 league forwards. No rank yet: under 30 minutes on the unit. Chances against are inverted, so a tall bar always reads well.
The league's puck and player tracking, through 17 games. Percentiles are the league's own.
2026-27 regular season: 17 games, 274 minutes. Sources: NHL.com for the roster, the counting line and NHL Edge tracking; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, zone starts, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-11-06. The rating and the forecast are this site's own, from public data, with the method published. All cards →
Status Signed ELC July 3, 2026 (3yr / $1.075M AAV); drafted No. 2 overall June 26; expected to make the NHL roster per Professor Hockey's dev-camp read
45-60 points and a real Calder candidate. The only prospect who plays in the NHL all year.
On the record
Called Shots →Ivar Stenberg is an NHL player in 2026-27, full stop, with rookie output around 50-plus points.
Take Stenberg over Chase Reid at No. 2 overall.
At least one San Jose player who has never appeared in an NHL regular-season game dresses for all four of the Sharks' 2026-27 preseason games.
Kiefer Sherwood averages under 1:45 a night on the power play across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Collin Graf is not among San Jose's top eight forwards in total power-play time on ice across the club's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.
Ivar Stenberg appears in 11 or more of San Jose's first 13 regular-season games in 2026-27.
Will Smith finishes the 2026-27 NHL regular season with an on-ice goal share at five-on-five below 52 percent for San Jose.
Written about him
Pohlkamp reaches San Jose, and the board does not move
Pohlkamp's first NHL games are the week's real change on the Sharks prospect board; Stenberg's three goals are the louder one, and nobody moves.
Stenberg had a hand in five of San Jose's last six power-play goals
Five games after the first look, Stenberg's points all come on the power play, his five-on-five minutes have shrunk, and his top speed has moved from the bottom fifth of the league to the middle.
Stenberg scored on the power play, and his ice-time rank kept moving
Ivar Stenberg had four power-play points in four games while his ice time rose and fell with them. Andre Gasseau passes Carson Wetsch on the prospect board, and Luca Cagnoni sat for a night.
San Jose has held its own for three games. One line has not.
San Jose's improved five-on-five play has left the Stenberg-Misa-Sherwood combination behind as the road trip reaches its first back-to-back.
San Jose changed its first line on Monday, and the other three with it
San Jose practiced on October 12 with four new forward lines: Chernyshov-Celebrini-Smith, Stenberg-Misa-Sherwood, Marchment-Wennberg-Toffoli and Ostapchuk between Graf and either Dellandrea or Gaudette, with Barclay Goodrow off the ice with an illness and questionable for Tuesday's game against Boston. The defense pairs did not change. Ivar Stenberg, 19, replaced Chernyshov on the first power-play unit; San Jose is 2 for 13 on the power play and 0 for 7 over its last three games. Warsofsky said the club is not playing in the offensive zone enough to create offense. At five-on-five San Jose has scored 7 goals and allowed 13 through five games, with 34.3 percent of MoneyPuck's expected goals, 31st of 32 clubs; last season's full-year share was 47.6 percent. Boston, 4-2-0, has allowed 7 five-on-five goals in six games.
McKinney had the points, but Stenberg's minutes carry more weight
Cole McKinney had five points in two Michigan games. Ivar Stenberg's climb to fourth of twelve San Jose forwards in ice time is the thing to hold onto, and the board's one move put Luca Cagnoni fifth.
Stenberg got McDavid's line before he got a five-on-five point
Stenberg's role grew before his five-on-five results improved, with McDavid minutes, average ground covered and a chance share that follows the Sharks.
Wennberg and Trouba get the other team's top line at SAP Center
Wennberg's line drew the heavier top-line matchup at home, while Celebrini's line took more defensive-zone faceoffs; practice this week kept Allan and Trouba together and moved Stenberg's line.
The prospect who got real work in week one was Cagnoni, at No. 6
Luca Cagnoni played 20:33 a game and scored the opening-night overtime winner while Ivar Stenberg had one assist in three games. All thirty rows on the Sharks prospect board held for September 29 through October 5.
Stenberg had five preseason points, then none against Vegas's stars
Ivar Stenberg scored five preseason points against two depleted lineups and none against the full Vegas lineup on September 26. All thirty rows on the Sharks prospect board held for September 22 through 28.
Stenberg scored three, and Celebrini's line had the puck
Stenberg scored three against Anaheim, while Celebrini's line paired the Sharks' smallest five-on-five workloads with on-ice attempt counts of 16-2, 17-3 and 15-3.
Ivar Stenberg played every situation San Jose had in his first NHL exhibition
Ivar Stenberg's first NHL exhibition brought 16:18 at five-on-five, a primary power-play assist and a shootout goal against an inexperienced Vegas lineup.
Ivar Stenberg And His Brother Scored One Goal And Two Assists Each In Their First Season Against Swedish Men
Otto Stenberg played 23 Swedish Hockey League games for Frolunda at 17 and scored one goal and two assists. Ivar Stenberg played 25 for the same club at the same age and scored one goal and two assists. In their second seasons Otto had six points in 31 games and Ivar had 33 in 43. Otto, a first-round pick in 2023, spent 2025-26 split between St. Louis and Springfield. San Jose has cut its preseason from six games to four and has 19 days between the Rookie Faceoff and the October 1 opener to decide where Ivar starts.
Ivar Stenberg, the deep dive: the models love him as much as the scouts, and he is chasing the Sedins
What the scouting reports leave out about Ivar Stenberg
The forecast, redone: Stenberg is an NHL player, and it changes the picture
Redone, with Stenberg in the lineup where he belongs