45-60 points and a real Calder candidate. The only prospect who plays in the NHL all year.
Status Signed ELC July 3, 2026 (3yr / $1.075M AAV); drafted No. 2 overall June 26; expected to make the NHL roster per Professor Hockey's dev-camp read
Pine Net Rating v0.1: no NHL sample in the 2025-26 file, so no rating yet.
No NHL games in the 2025-26 regular season, so there is nothing to rank yet.
Sources: NHL.com for the roster, bio and counting line; MoneyPuck for expected goals, on-ice chances, blocks and penalties; PuckPedia and CapWages for the contract. Updated 2026-09-13. The rating, the forecast and the value line are this site's own, from public data, with the method published.
Ivar Stenberg is an NHL player in 2026-27, full stop, with rookie output around 50-plus points.
Take Stenberg over Chase Reid at No. 2 overall.
At least one San Jose player who has never appeared in an NHL regular-season game dresses for all four of the Sharks' 2026-27 preseason games.
Kiefer Sherwood averages under 1:45 a night on the power play across San Jose's first 20 games of 2026-27.
Collin Graf is not among San Jose's top eight forwards in total power-play time on ice across the club's first 20 regular-season games of 2026-27.
Ivar Stenberg appears in 11 or more of San Jose's first 13 regular-season games in 2026-27.
Will Smith finishes the 2026-27 NHL regular season with an on-ice goal share at five-on-five below 52 percent for San Jose.
Otto Stenberg played 23 Swedish Hockey League games for Frolunda at 17 and scored one goal and two assists. Ivar Stenberg played 25 for the same club at the same age and scored one goal and two assists. In their second seasons Otto had six points in 31 games and Ivar had 33 in 43. Otto, a first-round pick in 2023, spent 2025-26 split between St. Louis and Springfield. San Jose has cut its preseason from six games to four and has 19 days between the Rookie Faceoff and the October 1 opener to decide where Ivar starts.

What the scouting reports leave out about Ivar Stenberg

Redone, with Stenberg in the lineup where he belongs
